Finance News: India Business News

Wednesday, July 4, 2007

POST MARKET REPORT - JULY 4 2007

NEW HIGHS FOR NIFTY & SENSEX

The market edged higher for the fifth straight trading session today, 4 July 2007, on firm global markets, steady progress of monsoon, and on lower inflation. Shares from the metal, cement and sugar sectors saw buying, while IT pivotals were offloaded.

The BSE 30-share Sensex rose 73.73 points or 0.50% at 14,880.24, an all time closing high. The barometer index opened higher at 14,848.16 and surged to strike a record high of 14,906.93 at 10:01 IST as buying intensified. But it came off the higher level to touch a low of 14,790.75 by 10:56 IST, a fall of 15.76 points for the day. It recovered later in volatile trade. The Sensex oscillated in a range of 116 points for the day.

The S&P CNX Nifty settled 1.75 points or 0.04% higher at 4,359.30, an all time closing peak. It hit an all-time high of 4,386.45 in intra-day trade. The index touched a low of 4,342.

The Nifty July 2007 futures settled at 4,356, a slight discount of 3.30 points as compared to spot closing.

Sensex has gained 449 points or 3.11% in 5 trading sessions at current 14,880.24, from its close of 14,431.06 on 27 June 2007. The barometer index is now just 119.76 points points away from the psychologically important 15000 mark.

The market breadth, which was strong in the opening session on BSE, turned negative by mid-morning trade: 1,445 shares declined as compared to 1,219 that advanced, while 68 remained unchanged.

The total turnover on BSE amounted to Rs 4742 crore, as against Rs 4948 crore on Tuesday, 3 July 2007. The NSE F&O turnover was at Rs 34,125.16 crore as compared to Rs 33917.80 crore on Tuesday, 3 July 2007.

The BSE Mid-Cap index was down 0.05% to 6,645.65, after striking an all-time high of 6,686.14. The BSE Small-Cap index also hit an all-time high of 7,895.65. It settled with gain of 0.12% to 7,855.66

Among the Sensex pack, 18 advanced while the rest declined.

Cement stocks surged ollowing reports that cement firms have hiked prices by Rs 3-Rs 5 per 50-kilogram bag across India effective today. Cement major ACC surged 7% to Rs 1004, on 14.40 lakh shares, after striking an intra-day high of Rs 1047. It was the top gainer from the Sensex pack.

Ambuja Cements (up 4.50% to Rs 130), Grasim (up 1.45% to Rs 2742), UltraTech Cement Company (up 4.72 % to Rs 926), and India Cements (up 3.51% to Rs 215) were the other gainers from the cement sector.

The ongoing monsoon season, generally considered as slack season for cement companies, failed to dampen monthly sales of cement companies. ACC's cement dispatches stood at 1.70 million tonnes in June 2007, up 9.67% from 1.55 million tonnes in June 2006. It produced 1.70 million tonnes of cement compared to 1.53 tonnes last year, a rise of 11%.

Private sector banking major ICICI Bank rose 2.46% to Rs 989.95 following reports that the department of industrial policy and promotion has approved ICICI Bank's plan to sell a 24% stake in ICICI Financial Services. ICICI Bank had recently said that its plant to sell stake in ICICI Financial Services to foreign investors was unlikely to get go ahead from the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB).

Metal stocks gained on fresh buying. The BSE Metal Index rose 1.17% to 10,785.05, and was the top gainer among the sectoral indices on BSE. Tata Steel (up 2.74% to Rs 617.15), Sail (up 1.50% to Rs 132), and JSW Steel (up 3.23% to Rs 639.95) edged higher. JSW Steel registered a growth of 26% in crude steel production in Q1 June 2007.

Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) advanced from a low of Rs 1,705, to strike a high of Rs 1,731. It settled 0.43% higher to Rs 1,712.80, on 6.19 lakh shares. The Committee of Secretaries (CoS), which met on 2 July 2007 to decide on the issue of gas pricing from RIL’s D6 fields in the Krishna-Godavari (K-G) basin, has asked the power and fertiliser ministries to present their views before the committee on 5 July 2007. No decision was taken in the meeting even as the petroleum ministry pitched for a market-determined price of gas produced from NELP blocks.

Shares from the auto pack edged higher on hopes that interest rates may soften. Around 50-75% of the sales of auto companies are derived from loans given by banks and financial institutions. The BSE Auto Index rose 0.71% to 4,837.65.

Tata Motors (up 1.17% to Rs 696), Maruti Udyog (up 0.75% to Rs 790) and Bajaj Auto (up 0.80% to Rs 2115) edged higher from the auto pack.

Oil exploration major ONGC was the top loser from the Sensex pack. The stock was down 1.79% to Rs 872 on volume of 1.93 lakh shares

IT pivotals slipped as the rupee hovered near one-month high at 40.55/56 against the US currency in late morning deals on Wednesday, 4 July 2007. Wipro (down 1.30% to Rs 508.50), Infosys (down 0.62% to Rs 1935), and TCS (down 0.95% to Rs 1117.10) edged lower from the IT pack. The BSE IT Index declined 0.77% at 4,841.64

Vishal Retail settled at Rs 752.20, a huge premium of 178.51% over the IPO price of Rs 270. The scrip touched a high of Rs 809 and low of Rs 423.25. It debuted at Rs 472.50. On BSE, 1.14 crore shares were traded in the counter.

Indus Fila (up 13.51% to Rs 210.50), Madhucon Projects (up 13% to Rs 244), Nahar Spinning (up 10% to Rs 93), Ceat (up 8% to Rs 171.90), and Arvind Mills (up 6.99% to Rs 48.20) surged from the small-cap and mid-cap segments.

Shares from the sugar sector were in demand on recent reports that the goverment may announce sops for the sugar sector. Bajaj Hindusthan (up 2.26% to Rs 167.50), Sakthi Sugars (up 1.65% to Rs 86.15), Balrampur Chini Mills (up 2.63% to Rs 75.90) and Shree Renuka Sugars (up 1.19% to Rs 648) advanced.

Bharat Earth Movers (BEML) galloped 6.11% to Rs 1,240 following strong response to its follow-on public issue that closed on Tuesday, 3 July 2007. The FPO of BEML was subscribed 30 times, on the back of a whopping 63.33 times subscription in the qualified institutional buyers (QIB) segment.

Jyoti Structures jumped 3.88% to Rs 196.95 after 5 lakh shares changed hands in the counter in a block deal on BSE at Rs 190 each, in opening trade. The company’s equity capital is Rs 16.14 crore, with 8.07 crore outstanding shares of a face value of Rs 2 each.

Dabur Pharma lost 1.64% to Rs 75.10 after 50 lakh shares (constituting 3.19% of company’s equity), changed hands in a single block deal at Rs 76 each on NSE. The company’s equity capital is Rs 15.67 crore, with 15.97 crore outstanding shares of a face value of Rs 1 each.

IFCI slumped 4.93% to Rs 59.80 after the National Stock Exchange (NSE) banned building fresh positions in the derivatives contracts in IFCI as 95% of market wide limit had reached in the stock. Trading in IFCI derivatives contracts will only be allowed to reduce positions

Similarly, Nagarjuna Fertilizers & Chemicals slipped 2.74% to Rs 23 after the NSE banned building fresh positions in the derivatives contracts in the stock as 95% of market wide limit had reached in the stock.

Ansal Properties & Infrastructure declined 4% to Rs 310.20 after it signed an agreement with Fortis Healthcare for setting up medicity in Uttar Pradesh. The project is likely to be completed in about seven years. It will have an 800-bed ultra-modern hospital comprising medical, dental and nursing colleges along with other facilities for paramedical and technical training.

Ess Dee Aluminium rose 0.65% to Rs 484.60 after its board today, 4 July 2007, approved raising up to $150 million and increasing foreign institutional investment limit to 49%.

For Sensex, mood's just right for a peak show - 04 Jul

With the bellwether Sensex just within sniffing distance of its life-time high, mood for the week ahead is bullish. The market may extend last week’s gains following the smooth rollover of positions from the June 2007 series to the July 2007 series in the derivatives segment, and the build-up of fresh positions.

The steady progress of monsoon and falling inflation numbers are expected to continue to provide cheer to market participants. While the BSE Sensex is just about 73 points away from its all-time high of 14724 (struck on February 9, 2007), the S&P CNX Nifty is 45 points away from its all-time high of 4363, struck on June 4, 2007. IT bellwether, Infosys Technologies, is all set to kick off the earnings season on July 11, 2007.

“The indices have closed near the intra-day high of the session and surpassed the 4300 levels with a positive market breadth and above average volumes,” says Vijay L Bhambwani, CEO, BSPLindia.com. “Both indicate optimism, and the closing is the highest-ever. That shows a prevalence of bulls over bears and the outlook ahead being positive,” he says.

He feels that the coming session is likely to witness intra-day levels of 4349 on advances and 4293 on declines. “Watch the 4293 level on Monday, should this level not be violated, the strength will gain momentum,” he says.

The beast of inflation has been tamed, with the figures out on last Friday, the lowest since the end of April 2006. This should partly ease concerns on the interest rate front. In the US too, Americans spent less than forecast in May and the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge cooled, signs that a consumer slowdown is restraining price pressures.

Last week the action was mainly in the small-cap and mid-cap segments, with the BSE Midcap index hitting an all-time high. BSE Capital Goods index, BSE’s banking sector index Bankex and BSE Consumer Durables index also scaled all-time peaks.

While the Sensex gained only 1.2% over the past week, BSE Midcap index and BSE Smallcap index gained 2.4% and 2.9%, respectively. This trend of mid-caps outperforming the large-caps is expected to continue.

However, the only concern could be on the oil price front. Crude oil prices ruled above $70 per barrel mark in New York on Friday, closing at a 10-month high. Oil prices climbed above $70 for the first time since August 2006 after an energy department report showed that US gasoline supplies fell last week as refinery operations rose.

Buy Bharti tele @ 860. Target- 875/80. SL- 845.

Buy Dr Reddy if trades & sustain above 670. Target -677/85. SL- 664.

Buy Reliance Commn above 531.Target 540/45.SL-524.

Buy Reliance industries if trades above 1712. Target- 1735/50. SL - 1690.

Buy VSNL around 492. Target- 497/507. SL- 486

Buy Sterlite Optical @ 252/53 Target- 258/62/65. SL - 248

Today's Calls...

BEST BUY

STERLITE OPTICAL (BUY) 259(Target1) 264 ( Target 2) 270 (Sl) 252

UNITECH (BUY) 542.5 (Target1) 550 ( Target 2) 556 (Sl) 524

CINEMAX (BUY) 162 (Target1) 166 ( Target 2) 169 (Sl) 157

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